| |
|
Latin
America is No Joke: U.S. Neighbor Relations
by Stanley A. Weiss
WASHINGTON
- When 11 Latin American countries took the first steps toward a regional
common market in 1960, dismissive U.S. officials predictably joked that
the ill-fated Latin American Free Trade Agreement would generate "more
tears than Lafta."
But no one was laughing this month in Peru when all 12 South American
nations pledged themselves to an EU-style political and economic community.
The South American Community of Nations - which by definition excludes
Mexico, the United States and Canada - envisions a common market, a regional
constitution and Parliament.
Are America's southern neighbors finally on the path to lasting integration?
Recent decades have seen an alphabet soup of acronymic trade agreements
designed to bind the region, from LAFTA to NAFTA (North American Free
Trade Agreement) to CAFTA (the Central American Free Trade Agreement,
awaiting ratification) to AFTA (the Andean Free Trade Agreement, under
negotiation) to SAFTA (a South American Free Trade Agreement, still a
dream).
The infighting at the recent economic summit in Brazil underscores the
rivalries that have plagued the Mercosur customs union between Brazil,
Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay.
Negotiations to create a hemisphere-wide Free Trade Area of the Americas
(FTAA) stretching from Alaska to Argentina are stalled over disagreements
between the U.S. and Brazil.
More likely, the display of unity in Peru was as much about South America
as it was about the North - specifically the United States. A more unified
group of South American nations is seen as a way to strengthen their collective
bargaining power in trade negotiations with the almighty yanquis.
Meanwhile, American policy toward the region is "old fashioned and
murky," says Rubens Barbosa, a former Brazilian ambassador to Washington.
"The U.S. has not recognized the changes in the region after Nafta.
There is a new economic geography in the Americas."
Indeed, always bound more by geography than ideology, America and its
Latin neighbors are drifting apart. As Washington moves to the right,
the rest of the hemisphere is moving to the left. The presidents of Brazil,
Argentina, Chile, Venezuela and Ecuador were all elected by challenging
Washington-driven free market reforms that have done little to reduce
the region's endemic poverty.
This spring, Uruguayans will swear in their first leftist president ever.
In Nicaragua, mayoral wins by the Sandinistas may herald the return of
U.S. nemesis Daniel Ortega. In Mexico, leftist Mayor Andrés Manuel
López Obrador of Mexico City remains the man to beat for president
in 2006.
In another sign of the changes, Mexico and Chile, with temporary seats
on the UN Security Council, resisted intense American pressure to support
the invasion of Iraq.
While in Canada recently, President Bush said that, "a new term in
office is an important opportunity to reach out to friends." How
can the United States reverse what Barbosa calls Washington's "policy
of benign neglect" toward Latin America?
Washington can reach out to its southern friends by focusing more on Latin
American concerns. After the recent Asian-Pacific Economic Cooperation
summit in Santiago, Bush's only stop in the region was a four-hour drop-by
in Colombia to show support for President Álvaro Uribe's war on
narco-terrorism.
In contrast, President Hu Jintao of China spent two weeks traveling the
region signing $30 billion in trade and development deals with Brazil,
Argentina, Chile and Cuba. Last year, China became Brazil's second-largest
trading partner behind the United States.
"The U.S. war is against terrorism," Barbosa says, "Latin
America's war is against poverty and hunger."
Washington must acknowledge continent-sized Brazil, with South America's
largest economy, as the awakening giant it is. In addition to championing
the new South American community, President Luiz Inácio Lula da
Silva of Brazil has won praise across the developing world for fighting
U.S. cotton subsidies, which the World Trade Organization has ruled illegal.
Brazil's refusal to fully open its markets without corresponding U.S.
concessions on farm subsidies has so far killed dreams of a hemispheric
trade pact.
Regrettably, some in Washington view Brasilia as a strategic competitor.
Having once warned that Brazil's only trading partner would be Antarctica
if it did not agree to a hemispheric trade zone, U.S. Trade Representative
Robert Zoellick last year labeled Brazil a "can't do, won't do"
country.
Washington should instead welcome Brazil as a strategic partner. Brazil
is leading the UN peacekeeping mission in Haiti, has been a valued ally
in the drug war and can serve as a diplomatic bridge between the United
States and regional bad boy Hugo Chávez of Venezuela. Washington
should support Brazil's candidacy for a permanent seat on an enlarged
Security Council. And if they really want a hemispheric free trade agreement,
Bush and Congress must take on the powerful farm lobby and end unfair
agricultural subsidies that make a mockery of free trade.
Washington can no longer afford to neglect Latin American countries like
unwanted stepchildren. The United States needs the region - and not just
for professional baseball stars. Limited initiatives like free trade agreements
with Chile, Central America and the Andean countries are positive steps,
but pale beside the huge benefits of a hemisphere-wide pact.
The smuggling of drugs and illegal aliens, narco-terrorism, and responding
to crises in places like Haiti are hemispheric challenges. As Secretary
of Defense Donald Rumsfeld observed while meeting with his regional counterparts
in Ecuador last month, "no one country can deal with these problems
alone."
It's in Washington's interest to treat its southern neighbors as the indispensable
partners they are. Otherwise, it will be Latin America that has the last
laugh.
|