| |
As
in the Cold War, the West Could win in the End
by
Stanley A. Weiss
WASHINGTON
- The war on terrorism, we are told, is a new kind of war. The scale
and scope of terrorism's targeting of innocent civilians across borders
and the stateless nature of the organizers represent a security challenge
the likes of which the West has never seen before.
True, some of the specific threats have changed, in remarkable ways. But
this first war of the 21st century looks much like the last war of the
20th - the Cold War against communism.
As the long battle against global terrorism begins, we should look at
the lessons of that long and ultimately victorious struggle.
Communist leaders from Lenin and Stalin to Mao to Castro had worldwide
ambitions that were hostile to Western values, particularly freedom, tolerance
and prosperity. Like Osama bin Laden, they were willing to resort to mass
violence and were expert in the use of propaganda to attract the poor
and uneducated to their cause.
It took more than 70 years, but the West ultimately beat back the challenge
posed by communism. How did we do it? Part of the answer, of course, was
military. We fought two large-scale wars in Asia against communism and
provided military equipment to dozens of anti-Communist insurgencies,
including one that became the Taliban in Afghanistan.
But in the end it was not only military prowess that proved decisive but
also the ability to win the hearts, minds and wallets of billions worldwide.
The West's economic success, and particularly its ability to extend the
promise of market economies to developing nations of Latin America, Southern
and Eastern Europe and the Pacific Rim countries of Asia, helped suck
the lifeblood out of communism's global appeal. Eventually the inability
of communism to meet the yearning for a better life spelled its doom.
The same could be the case in the war against global terrorism. The military
effort must be coupled with a revival of some of the programs and initiatives
that proved so effective during the Cold War. In some cases, these programs
should take precedence over purely military tactics.
Development aid. During the Cold War the United States provided
billions of dollars in economic aid, much of which was used to build infrastructure
and to feed and educate the people. The most spectacular successes were
the Marshall Plan for Europe and rebuilding Japan and Germany.
Building market economies. Insistence on open and free trade was
instrumental in allowing many developing countries to build stable and
prosperous economies. The 20th century proved the axiom that good economics
builds good politics - not the other way around. Authoritarian countries
and regions that embraced capitalism, such as Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand
and Latin America eventually produced a middle class that saw democracy
take root.
Public diplomacy. To counter bin Laden's appeal to disenfranchised
young Muslims, we will have to articulate a better vision of the future.
We must become a beacon not just to the privileged classes in the Islamic
world but to the Muslim "street."
Western leaders have indicated at least a token under-standing of this
broader agenda. The decision to couple bombing with food delivery is a
step in the right direction, as is the decision to minimize civilian casualties.
The United States and Britain should now agree to curtail the bombing
even more and work with Pakistan, Iran and Afghanistan's other neighbors
to ensure stability in the region after the Taliban are gone.
The West should announce a Marshall-like plan for those moderate regimes
in the Muslim world willing to commit to the war against fanaticism.
In the long run the only way to win this war is to encourage economic
growth and market capitalism.
In his visit to Pakistan this week, Secretary of State Colin Powell talked
of the opportunity that closer U.S.-$ Pakistani ties presented. With U.S.
help, Pakistan could finally become a stable 21st century nation by breaking
up feudal land holdings and establishing universal secular education to
counter the religious schools that are hotbeds of pro-terrorist sentiment.
Spreading the wealth leads to greater stability and a middle class that
will demand a political voice. It is no accident that Mexico, where the
poor now own assets worth $315 billion, has become a model of political
stability and pluralism in the developing world.
Those North African and Middle Eastern states, such as Jordan, Morocco
and Tunisia, that are developing their economies before pushing democracy
are now more enlightened than states such as Syria, Iraq and Sudan, where
instant democracy descended into military tyranny. The West must offer
a stake in the modern capitalist economic system to all who are now disadvantaged.
Stanley
A. Weiss is founder and chairman of Business Executives for National Security.
The views he expresses are his own.
|