| |
|
It's
Time for the U.S. and India to Go Steady
A Logical Partnership
by Stanley A. Weiss
MUMBAI
-- Gurinder Chadha's "Bride and Prejudice" is giving American
moviegoers their first taste of Bollywood. Andrew Lloyd Webber's musical
extravaganza "Bombay Dreams" soon hopes to dazzle Indian audiences.
But today's real-life blockbuster is the geopolitical melodrama playing
out across South Asia - the epic courtship between India and the United
States.
Like the marathon musicals for which this city, formerly Bombay, is famous,
the Indian-U.S. storyline has been a half-century in the making. During
the cold war, Pakistan was the darling of Washington, which saw India
as sleeping with the Soviets. Nonaligned India played the chaste heroine
preaching nonviolence.
Only after India exploded in a nuclear tantrum in 1998 did Washington
start treating New Delhi like an adult. Today, Indian-U.S. relations have
matured from that of estranged democracies to engaged partners, and officials
in both countries speak breathlessly of being "natural allies."
But as in any Bollywood saga, old flames and new suitors may thwart this
blossoming romance. How can Washington and New Delhi realize their dreams
of a meaningful long-term relationship?
First, both sides must dump their emotional baggage. India must understand
that the American embrace of Pakistan since the Sept. 11 attacks is not
true love, but an affair of convenience in the war on terrorism.
At the same time, Washington can be more sensitive to India's legitimate
security and economic concerns. By rewarding Islamabad with the status
of Major Non-NATO Ally and $1.3 billion in new military hardware (and
possibly F-16 fighter aircraft) - which Indian officials warn will be
aimed at India, not Al Qaeda - Washington only props up the antidemocratic,
anti-American military-mullah complex that runs Pakistan.
K. Subrahmanyam, a former member of India's National Security Council,
told me, "I cannot understand when the United States acts against
its interests, as it is doing in Pakistan."
Likewise, the United States should resist knee-jerk reactions when India
seemingly acts against American interests. The $40 billion natural gas
deal recently signed by India, a leading gas importer, and Iran, a top
gas exporter, makes perfect sense. Washington should welcome, not fear,
plans for an Iranian-Indian pipeline across Pakistan, which would give
Tehran and Islamabad economic incentives to behave themselves.
With other suitors vying for New Delhi's affections, Washington can no
longer take India for granted. Russia has advocated a "strategic
triangle" aligning New Delhi, Moscow and Beijing as a counterweight
to the United States.
China and India, historic rivals, recently sat down for their first strategic
talks. The visit to India this month by China's prime minister, Wen Jiabao,
may herald new Chinese-Indian energy cooperation, including joint ventures
for petroleum exploration to feed their oil-hungry economies.
It's time for Washington to respect India as the mature, responsible global
power it is. Within three decades, India is projected to have the world's
third largest economy and more people than China. New Delhi already is
flexing its newfound muscle as a reliable ally in the war on terrorism
and an indispensable partner in the reconstruction of Afghanistan.
If Beijing continues to accelerate the modernization and build-up of its
military, as Washington and New Delhi fear, India will be to South Asia
what Japan is to East Asia - an indispensable counterbalance to China.
Rather than a marriage of convenience with India, America should seek
a "marriage of commitment," according to Ram Narayanan of the
advocacy group US-India Friendship. "It is up to the U.S. to say
'yes' and wear the ring on its finger."
President George W. Bush has pledged a strategic partnership with India
and should take the plunge, starting with a trip to New Delhi bearing
the dowry that would win Indian hearts - American support for an Indian
seat on an expanded UN Security Council.
Bush should also breathe new life into bilateral trade, which last year
was a mere $21 billion. The U.S.-China economic relationship, by comparison,
was last year worth $230 billion.
Building on the recent easing of U.S. export controls on technology for
India's space and civilian nuclear programs, Washington and New Delhi
should move ahead with cooperation in high-tech trade and missile defense.
A presidential pledge that India can count on the U.S. as a reliable supplier
would promote the sale of critical defense technologies.
For its part, India must finish what it started in 1991 - letting go of
socialist economic policies that stifle innovation and scare off foreign
investment. "India needs to unleash the full potential of our English-speaking
knowledge economy and attract $15 billion in annual foreign direct investment
to increase economic growth," explains Sanjaya Baru, spokesman for
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh. "We will achieve neither unless India
is truly open for business."
Singh, who as finance minister championed the economic reforms of the
early 1990s, is off to a good start. His first budget proposes major investments
in education, modernizing India's colonial-era infrastructure, lowering
tariffs, lifting restrictions on foreign ownership and moving ahead with
privatization of state-owned companies.
How will this elaborate Indian-American co-production unfold? Don't expect
the players in this ensemble to spontaneously burst into song and dance.
But with the right direction and some clever choreography, the actors
in this drama can fulfill Singh's wish that, "the best is yet to
come."
|